Visualizing the Invisible: Estimating the New Keynesian Output Gap via a Bayesian Approach

new semigroup compactifications via the enveloping semigroups of associated flows

this thesis deals with the construction of some function algebras whose corresponding semigroup compactification are universal with respect to some properies of their enveloping semigroups. the special properties are of beigan a left zero, a left simple, a group, an inflation of the right zero, and an inflation of the rectangular band.

the effect of a selfregulatory approach on the improvement of efl learners listening comprehension

تاثیر آموزش مهارت خود محوری بر روی ارتقاء مهارت شنیداری زبان آموزان هدف این پژوهش بررسی عوامل موثر در ارتقا مهارت شنیداری زبان آموزان ایرانی بود. در مرحله اول این تحقیق پژوهشگر پس از انجام مصاحبه نود زبان آموز را با استفاده از تست ایلتس انتخاب شدند. برای بررسی عوامل عوامل موثر در ارتقا مهارت شنیداری زبان آموزان ایرانی از دو نوع فیلم ویرایش شده و ویرایش نشده استفاده گردید.برای انجام تح...

Estimating the Output Gap in Real Time

I propose a novel method of estimating the potential level of U.S. GDP in real time. The proposed wage-based measure of economic potential remains virtually unchanged when new data are released. The distance between current and potential output – the output gap – satisfies Okun’s law and outperforms many other measures of slack in forecasting inflation. Thus, I provide a robust statistical tool...

Estimating the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: A Vertical Production Chain Approach

Inflation Dynamics and the New Keynesian Phillips Curve: a Bayesian Approach

We propose a Bayesian approach to test the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) both as an exact relation and as a noisy/potentially misspecified model. We do so in order to reconcile the contradicting evidence that the NKPC is rejected by a Wald test but nevertheless it provides a good approximation of inflation dynamics. We apply the proposed approach to US and EMU data. When the NKPC is teste...